Revealed: Where each club is most likely to finish in the Premier League table

first_img 20 20 Southampton are most likely to finish 8th, with a 31% chance of finishing in that position – The Saints are given a 27% chance of finishing seventh 20 The weekend saw several significant results as a fascinating Premier League season reaches its final straight.Leicester City marched on towards what would be an utterly remarkable title success, while Tottenham – without a championship since 1961 – maintained their chase of the Foxes.In the battle for the Champions League places, Manchester United kept themselves in the frame with a vital derby victory at struggling Man City.West Ham, meanwhile, maintained their thrilling push for the top four, almost certainly killing off any faint hope Chelsea had of finishing fourth.At the bottom, Norwich boosted their survival chances with a win against West Brom, while Newcastle and Sunderland fought for a point apiece in the Tyne-Wear derby.So, where will these clubs (and the rest) finish at the end of the season?The boffin behind Sports Club Stats, might be able to give us an idea.Using a complex algorithm, involving millions of simulated fixtures – explained here – the website analyses the chances of a team finishing in each position.And it’s thrown up some interesting numbers, which you can see by clicking the right arrow above. Chelsea are most likely to finish 10th, with a 23% chance of finishing in that position – The Blues have a 0.0485% chance of finishing fourth. Yes, we’re saying there’s a chance! Swansea City are most likely to finish 15th, with a 30% chance of finishing in that position – The Swans are given a 28% chance of ending the campaign in 16th, with a 0.602% possibility of ending 18th and relegated. Sunderland are most likely to finish 18th, with a 38% chance of finishing in that position – The Black Cats may be in deep trouble, but the computer suggests they have a 29% chance of finishing outside the relegation zone in 17th, with a 5% chance of climbing as high as 16th. Arsenal are most likely to finish third, with boffins calculating they have a 56% chance of finishing the Premier League season in that position. Find out where your club is calculated most likely to finish – simply click the arrow above, right – The Gunners are also calculated to have a two per cent chance of finishing as champions, with a 14% chance of ending up second and 18% likelihood of finishing fourth. 20 Crystal Palace are most likely to finish 16th, with a 38% chance of finishing in that position – The Eagles are calculated to have a 2.529% of finishing 18th and relegated. Stoke City are most likely to finish 9th, with a 30% chance of finishing in that position – The Potters are given a 10% chance of finishing seventh, which could be a Europa League place. Everton are most likely to finish 11th, with a 22% chance of finishing in that position – And a 20% chance of finishing 10th. Evertonians will be looking to the FA Cup for excitement, then. 20 20 West Brom are most likely to finish 13th, with a 21.029% chance of finishing in that position – Along with the Hornets, the position the Baggies have the highest percentage chance of finishing in is 13th. Of course, only one club can take that spot, and West Brom are given a better chance of ending the season in 14th than Watford (19% compared to 17%). Manchester City are most likely to finish fourth, with a 33% chance of finishing in that position – City are calculated to have a 26% chance of finishing fifth, compared to a 14% chance of finishing third. 20 20 20 Manchester United are most likely to finish fifth, with a 28% chance of finishing in that position – The Red Devils are given a 22% chance of finishing fourth. 20 20 20 Leicester City are most likely to finish as CHAMPIONS, with a 76% chance of finishing in that position – The Foxes have a 21% chance of finishing as runners up. Incredible. Norwich City are most likely to finish 17th, with a 41% chance of finishing in that position – The Canaries are 31% likely to finish 18th and relegated, and have a 17% chance of finishing 19th, according to computer calculations. Newcastle United are most likely to finish 19th, with a 56% chance of finishing in that position – This makes bad reading for Magpies fans, with the computer calculating just a 13% chance of finishing 17th. Still, Leicester City confounded all opinion to escape relegation last season, so there’s always hope. 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Bournemouth are most likely to finish 14th, with a 22% chance of finishing in that position – The Cherries are also calculated to have a 21% per cent chance of finishing 13th, but just a 0.0274% possibility of finishing 18th, ie. relegated. 20 Watford are most likely to finish 13th, with a 21.431% chance of finishing in that position – The Hornets are given a 20.586% chance of placing higher, in 12th, and a 16% chance of moving up to 9th by the season’s end. Aston Villa are, you will not be shocked to learn, calculated to have a 99% chance of finishing rock bottom in the Premier League – The Villans have a one per cent chance of finishing 19th, according to computer calculations. Sums it up! Tottenham are most likely to finish runners up, with a 62% chance of finishing in that position – Spurs are given a 22% chance of being crowned champions, which would have been seen as amazing at the start of the season, and that is still a decent chance. They are given a 14% chance of finishing third, which would probably put them behind Arsenal, so it seems likely that at the very least Spurs will finally finish above their North London rivals. Liverpool are most likely to finish seventh, with a 27% chance of finishing in that position – The Reds now have just a three per cent chance of finishing fourth. West Ham are most likely to finish 5th, with a 25.891% chance of finishing in that position – The Hammers, like Man United, find fifth place tipped as their most likely finishing spot, but with a lower chance than the Red Devils of ending the campaign in that place (28% for the Red Devils). In fact, West Ham are given a 25.684% chance of finishing sixth, only marginally lower than the likelihood of them taking fifth spot. Perhaps most importantly, they’re given a 20% chance of finishing fourth and that sums up what a brilliant season they have had so far under the management of Slaven Bilic.last_img read more